In the run-up to the Lok Sabha polls, the INDIA alliance finds itself in a state of disarray, struggling to present a united front against the formidable BJP juggernaut, which has gained strength following the inauguration of the Ram Temple in Ayodhya. It is clear that the opposition coalition is facing challenges in resolving their differences, particularly in states crucial for electoral success, such as Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal. Already, West Bengal chief minister and Trinamool Congress supremo Mamata Banerjee has announced that her party will contest the Lok Sabha elections in all constituencies in the state, citing a major setback in the seat-sharing talks with the INDIA bloc ally Congress. She said her party’s seat-sharing proposals were “dismissed” by Congress immediately.
The growing tension between the JD(U) and its key partner RJD in Bihar, have also raised questions about the political maneuverings of Nitish Kumar. Fears that he might once again switch sides have reared their head.The political alliances are of dynamic nature. The self-interest often guides party decisions in response to changing situations. Kumar’s recent restructuring of the JD(U), including the appointment of new office-bearers have triggered speculation and uncertainty about the political landscape in Bihar, with questions arising about the unity of the INDIA bloc in the state. The statement by Union Home Minister Amit Shah, indicating that the BJP would consider the return of erstwhile NDA allies like Nitish Kumar has further fuelled rumours.
As the Lok Sabha polls draw nearer, the opposition faces a critical challenge in resolving internal differences, finalizing seat-sharing agreements, and presenting a coherent narrative against the BJP. There is an urgent need to address the disarray within the INDIA alliance and put up a unified front to effectively challenge the growing influence of the ruling party.
But this is easier said than done. As the inauguration of Ram Mandir proved, PM Modi is now largely unchallengeable as the sole preeminent leader of the country. He has by and large singlehandedly altered the direction of the country away from Nehruvian socialism and instituted Hinduism as the religion of the state. The BJP’s victory and that too a massive one already looks like a foregone conclusion. That is, unless the opposition gets its act together, which looks unlikely. This will require seriousness on the part of all and some give and take. But fighting the BJP will take more than seat-sharing. Opposition will need an alternative political narrative which sounds credible enough to resonate with people.
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